Democrats Weigh Whether to Rescue McCarthy From G.O.P. Ouster Bid

Democrats Weigh Whether to Rescue McCarthy From GOP Ouster Bid | ltc-a

The hard-right threat to oust Speaker Kevin McCarthy from his post has presented House Democrats with a tricky question: Should they help rescue the California Republican who has worked against their agenda and recently opened an impeachment inquiry against President Biden?

Mr. McCarthy’s slender majority and the size of the band of right-wing rebels working to depose him mean that he has little chance of surviving a vote to keep his job — which requires a majority — without at least some support from Democrats.

But it is nearly unheard-of for members of the minority to vote for the opposing party’s candidate for speaker. Top party officials suggest that, given Mr. McCarthy’s multiple partisan transgressions, they would be exceedingly unlikely to do so now without a clear-cut commitment from him to engage Democrats more in governing.

“I am not a cheap date,” said Representative James P. McGovern of Massachusetts, the top Democrat on the Rules Committee, who, like other Democrats, said he had serious trust issues with the speaker.

As they returned to work after a head-spinning Saturday when Congress adopted Mr. McCarthy’s last-minute measure to keep the government open through mid-November, senior Democrats said they had made no firm decision whether they would help him beat back a challenge from Representative Matt Gaetz, Republican of Florida.

Mr. Gaetz on Monday accused Mr. McCarthy of working for Mr. Biden, demanding that he explain any negotiations he had with the White House over the spending bill and hinting at a formal move against the speaker later in the week.

If Mr. Gaetz pulls the trigger on his threat to call a vote on removing Mr. McCarthy from the highest office in the House, Democrats say they will not be inclined to help him without something significant in return. Democratic officials said that absent some sort of tangible and enforceable concession from Mr. McCarthy that benefited them, they could not envision a sufficient number backing him to offset Republican defections.

However, Representative Hakeem Jeffries, Democrat of New York and the minority leader, has made no firm decision with his lieutenants about how to proceed. Democrats were expected to meet later Monday and Tuesday to discuss their position.

Their choices include siding with Mr. McCarthy’s right-wing detractors in voting to remove him, joining most Republicans in backing him or helping him in more passive ways: either failing to show up for the vote or voting “present,” both of which would lower the threshold needed for him to win a majority and keep his job.

As of Monday afternoon, Mr. McCarthy had not approached Democrats with any offer in exchange for their help, and Democrats had not yet reached out to him with an ask, according to people in both camps familiar with the matter and who spoke on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to discuss it.

Democrats have been strategizing internally about what concessions they might be able to extract from Mr. McCarthy in exchange for saving him from Mr. Gaetz and his allies. Democrats are eager to see Mr. McCarthy commit to more funding for Ukraine, award more federal projects in Democrats’ districts and honor the deal on spending levels he reached earlier this year with Mr. Biden, according to people familiar with the discussions. All would draw a backlash from Republicans.

Some Democrats have also floated ideas that seem less likely to be acted upon, such as demanding co-chairs for committees, removing right-wing Republicans from the Rules Committee and even obtaining a promise that the G.O.P. campaign committees will not spend money to defeat politically vulnerable Democrats.

Helping Mr. McCarthy is not without political risks for Democrats. Should they go to bat for the speaker, their own voters might not be pleased with an effort to rescue a Republican leader who has allied himself so closely with former President Donald J. Trump and invested so much political capital in tearing down Mr. Biden.

If Democrats were to save Mr. McCarthy, they are considering whether some number of them would vote “present” or skip the vote, a move that would allow the Republican to remain speaker without Democrats actively supporting him.

Engaging with Democrats could also backfire on the speaker, giving Republicans already unhappy with him over the spending measure more ammunition to push for his ouster.

Mr. Gaetz practically dared Mr. McCarthy to negotiate across the aisle to save his job. He suggested that Mr. McCarthy had cut a “secret side deal” with Mr. Biden to continue financial support for Ukraine as the country defends itself against a Russian invasion. And he blasted the speaker for partnering with Democrats to keep the government open.

“Working with the Democrats is a yellow brick road that has been paved by Speaker McCarthy,” Mr. Gaetz added.

It is clear that many Democrats are in no rush to save the speaker. Many have grown frustrated with his actions catering to the hard-right members of his party, including his fealty to Mr. Trump and his opening last month of the impeachment inquiry, even in the absence of any evidence of misconduct.

Democrats have a litany of complaints about how they believe they have been wronged by the speaker. Just this past weekend, they accused him of jamming them with a 71-page stopgap bill with no time to review it. Mr. McCarthy then appeared on a Sunday news show portraying Democrats as the party backing a shutdown, when it was mostly Democrats who approved the legislation that averted it.

But their antipathy toward him runs much deeper. While he first blamed Mr. Trump for the events of Jan. 6, 2021, he then flew to Florida to meet with the then-president and to try to mend fences in a public display of allegiance. He also sought to undermine the credibility of the Jan. 6 committee formed when Democrats still had the majority. He negotiated a spending deal with Mr. Biden in the spring and then backed away from it under pressure from his far right. He said he would not begin any impeachment inquiry without a vote on the floor, but then reneged and called for an inquiry when he was facing a rebellion over spending legislation.